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Thursday, March 28
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Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Mar 2, 2021 at 10.20am UK
Perth Oval
CC

Perth Glory
1 - 2
Central Coast

Fornaroli (65')
Timmins (25'), Castro (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Simon (6'), Urena (40')
Kuol (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
44.58%23.36%32.05%
Both teams to score 62.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.03%38.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.71%61.29%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14%17.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.38%48.61%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08%23.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87%58.13%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 44.59%
    Central Coast Mariners 32.05%
    Draw 23.36%
Perth GloryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 7.36%
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 5.21%
3-2 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 44.59%
1-1 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-1 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.05%

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