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Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Mar 12, 2021 at 8.05am UK
AAMI Park
M

Melbourne City
3 - 0
Macarthur

MacLaren (23', 25'), Noone (35')
Noone (20'), Berenguer (61'), Jamieson (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawMacarthur
47.31%22.57%30.11%
Both teams to score 64.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88%36.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.77%58.23%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29%15.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21%44.79%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31%23.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2%57.8%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 47.31%
    Macarthur 30.11%
    Draw 22.57%
Melbourne CityDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.18%
1-0 @ 6.89%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-2 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3.93%
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-2 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 0.97%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3%
Total : 47.31%
1-1 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 6.61%
0-0 @ 3.72%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-1 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.11%

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