Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne City in this match.
