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Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Nov 19, 2021 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
BR

Melbourne City
2 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Good (40'), Metcalfe (43')
Metcalfe (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ivanovic (71')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne City in this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
54.81%21.81%23.38%
Both teams to score 60.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.81%38.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.53%60.47%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06%13.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.59%41.41%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48%29.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46%65.54%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 54.81%
    Brisbane Roar 23.38%
    Draw 21.81%
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 6.4%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 3.15%
4-0 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.92%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 54.81%
1-1 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 4.12%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-1 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 3.06%
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 23.38%

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