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Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jun 2, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
PG

Brisbane Roar
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Aspropotamitis (51' og.), Danzaki (73')
Akbari (30'), O'Shea (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wilson (85')
Fornaroli (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawPerth Glory
45.92%24.46%29.62%
Both teams to score 57.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.7%45.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36%67.64%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16%19.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.07%51.93%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41%28.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61%64.38%
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 45.92%
    Perth Glory 29.62%
    Draw 24.46%
Brisbane RoarDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 45.92%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-1 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.62%

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