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Australian A-League
Jun 13, 2021 at 6.05am UK
Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex 1
AU

Brisbane Roar
1 - 2
Adelaide United

Parsons (56')
Aldred (67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Juric (15', 19')
D'Arrigo (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
37.78%24.24%37.98%
Both teams to score 60.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97%42.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.57%64.44%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78%22.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36%55.64%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51%55.49%
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 37.78%
    Adelaide United 37.98%
    Draw 24.24%
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.39%
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 5.56%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.78%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-1 @ 7.42%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.98%

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