Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
