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Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Mar 6, 2021 at 8.10am UK
Marvel Stadium
MC

Victory
0 - 6
Melbourne City


McManaman (14'), Lawrie-Lattanzio (63'), Broxham (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
MacLaren (34'), Berenguer (52'), Griffiths (56'), Metcalfe (75', 77'), Colakovski (90+3')
Griffiths (13'), Berenguer (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
29.03%23.46%47.52%
Both teams to score 60.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97%41.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58%63.42%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17%26.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87%62.13%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49%17.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99%48.01%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 29.03%
    Melbourne City 47.52%
    Draw 23.45%
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.08%
1-0 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.03%
1-1 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 9.38%
0-1 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 5.45%
0-3 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 3.59%
1-4 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 1.81%
2-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 47.52%

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