Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.