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Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Feb 3, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford
MC

Central Coast
3 - 2
Melbourne City

Cassella (41'), Simon (57' pen.), De Silva (80')
Cassella (53')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Luna (23'), MacLaren (31')
Stokes (35'), Atkinson (64')
Stokes (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 2-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne City
21.26%22.29%56.45%
Both teams to score 55.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57%43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.6%65.4%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91%34.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22%70.78%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.95%15.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.45%43.55%
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 21.26%
    Melbourne City 56.45%
    Draw 22.28%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 5.63%
1-0 @ 5.52%
2-0 @ 2.97%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.26%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 5.33%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-1 @ 9.72%
0-2 @ 9.2%
1-3 @ 6.25%
0-3 @ 5.81%
2-3 @ 3.36%
1-4 @ 2.96%
0-4 @ 2.75%
2-4 @ 1.59%
1-5 @ 1.12%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 56.45%

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