Newcastle Jets
2 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Freke (22' og.), Thurgate (70')
Hoffman (33'), Elsey (79'), Duncan (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lescano (64')
Daley (45'), Brown (68'), Hingert (72'), Trewin (90+3')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Brisbane Roar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle Jets in this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Brisbane Roar
41.18%	24.96%	33.86%

Both teams to score 57.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.11%

45.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.8%

68.2%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77%

22.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34%

55.67%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84%

26.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.76%

61.24%

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 41.18%

Brisbane Roar 33.86%

Draw 24.95%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.18%	1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95%	1-2 @ 7.86% 0-1 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.86%