Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle Jets in this match.
