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Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Dec 19, 2021 at 5.05am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
NJ

Macarthur
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets

De Silva (48'), Meredith (84')
Noone (38'), M'Mombwa (45+2'), Uskok (51'), Najjar (78'), Rose (90+1')
Kurto (18')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Newcastle Jets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
34.75%24.1%41.14%
Both teams to score 60.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31%41.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.91%64.08%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34%23.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23%57.77%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55%20.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09%52.91%
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 34.76%
    Newcastle Jets 41.14%
    Draw 24.09%
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 5.03%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.76%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 4.65%
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 3.23%
1-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 41.14%

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