Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Adelaide United in this match.
