SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 30.93% | 25.67% | 43.4% |
| Both teams to score 53.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% | 49.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.07% | 71.93% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% | 30.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.85% | 66.15% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% | 22.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.32% | 56.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% 2-1 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 4.98% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 2% Other @ 3.23% Total : 30.93% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.39% |
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