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Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Dec 4, 2021 at 8.45am UK
Sydney Football Stadium
NJ

Sydney FC
2 - 2
Newcastle Jets

le Fondre (9' pen.), Kamsoba (30')
Retre (39'), Warland (65'), Grant (71'), Wood (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Yuel (58', 65')
Duncan (8')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Newcastle Jets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawNewcastle Jets
51.12%24.37%24.5%
Both teams to score 53.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44%48.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32%70.67%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81%18.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46%50.53%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76%34.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07%70.93%
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 51.12%
    Newcastle Jets 24.5%
    Draw 24.37%
Sydney FCDrawNewcastle Jets
1-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-0 @ 4.97%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 51.12%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.97%
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.5%

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