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Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Jan 8, 2021 at 8.10am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
WS

Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Western Sydney

Boogaard (73')
O'Donovan (34'), Petratos (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gordon (7'), Russell (57')
Troisi (68'), Dorrans (72'), Ibini-Isei (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
45.86%23.47%30.67%
Both teams to score 61.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.86%40.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.49%62.5%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19%17.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.47%48.53%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67%25.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89%60.1%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 45.86%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 30.67%
    Draw 23.46%
Newcastle JetsDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 45.86%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.51%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-1 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.67%

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