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Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 20, 2022 at 5.05am UK
Perth Oval
BR

Perth Glory
2 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Fornaroli (8' pen., 73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Akbari (18'), Neville (32')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Brisbane Roar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.

Result
Perth GloryDrawBrisbane Roar
38.6%24.84%36.56%
Both teams to score 58.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09%44.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73%67.27%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91%23.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07%56.93%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84%24.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52%58.48%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 38.61%
    Brisbane Roar 36.56%
    Draw 24.83%
Perth GloryDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.51%
1-0 @ 8.18%
2-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.61%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-1 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 5.63%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 36.56%

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