Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.
