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Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Perth Oval
BR

Perth Glory
3 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Castro (40', 75'), Fornaroli (68')
Ingham (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hingert (45+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawBrisbane Roar
35.84%25.22%38.94%
Both teams to score 56.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26%46.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31%69%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59%25.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78%60.22%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27%23.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14%57.86%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 35.84%
    Brisbane Roar 38.94%
    Draw 25.22%
Perth GloryDrawBrisbane Roar
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-1 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.84%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.03%
2-2 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.67%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-2 @ 6.24%
1-3 @ 4.1%
0-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.94%

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