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Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Feb 13, 2022 at 7.45am UK
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
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Brisbane Roar
3 - 1
Macarthur

Mileusnic (2'), Brown (60'), Hore (78')
Akbari (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mariappa (74')
Jovanovic (40'), Meredith (86'), Susnjar (88')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Macarthur.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMacarthur
52.24%23.39%24.37%
Both teams to score 56.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55%44.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18%66.82%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98%17.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84%47.16%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88%32.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4%68.6%
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 52.24%
    Macarthur 24.37%
    Draw 23.39%
Brisbane RoarDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.44%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 52.24%
1-1 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 5.53%
0-0 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.37%

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