Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
