Central Coast Mariners have been in formidable form in recent months to reach this stage, and in a bid to retain the A-League title on home turf, we back them to come out on top in what promises to be a tight final in New South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%).

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne Victory
48.44%	23.32%	28.24%

Both teams to score 60.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.11%

40.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.72%

63.27%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9%

17.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.7%

47.3%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7%

27.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27%

62.73%

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 48.44%

Melbourne Victory 28.24%

Draw 23.31%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.44%	1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 6.95% 0-1 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.24%