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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
47.66% ( 0.23) | 24.27% ( -0.05) | 28.07% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.65% ( 0.11) | 45.35% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.32% ( 0.11) | 67.68% ( -0.11) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( 0.14) | 19.13% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( 0.23) | 50.77% ( -0.22) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( -0.07) | 29.71% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.24% ( -0.09) | 65.76% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 47.66% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 28.07% |
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