SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
29.66% ( 1.49) | 24.58% ( -0.09) | 45.76% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.89% ( 1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( 1.25) | 45.78% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% ( 1.18) | 68.1% ( -1.18) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( 1.7) | 28.8% ( -1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( 2.07) | 64.65% ( -2.07) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -0.09) | 20.1% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( -0.14) | 52.35% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.45)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.76% |
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