Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
