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Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
May 27, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
CC

Macarthur
1 - 2
Central Coast

Susaeta (17')
Susnjar (40'), Derbyshire (82'), Genreau (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clisby (31'), De Silva (55')
Nisbet (37'), Tongyik (73'), Rowles (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawCentral Coast Mariners
38.81%23.27%37.91%
Both teams to score 64.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.78%37.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.58%59.42%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39%19.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45%51.55%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97%20.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77%52.23%
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 38.81%
    Central Coast Mariners 37.91%
    Draw 23.27%
MacarthurDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.38%
1-0 @ 6.4%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 38.81%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 6.74%
0-0 @ 3.93%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-1 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 2.72%
1-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 37.91%

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