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Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Jun 5, 2021 at 10.10am UK
Hunter Stadium
PG

Newcastle Jets
1 - 1
Perth Glory

Aspropotamitis (70' og.)
Topor-Stanley (28'), Millar (53'), Boogaard (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fornaroli (21')
Ingham (44'), Armiento (45+1'), Geria (49'), Rawlins (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawPerth Glory
38.17%25.29%36.54%
Both teams to score 56.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01%46.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76%69.24%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76%24.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.4%58.6%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87%25.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16%59.84%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 38.17%
    Perth Glory 36.54%
    Draw 25.28%
Newcastle JetsDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.02%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.17%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.41%
1-2 @ 8.23%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 0.93%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 36.54%

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