Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
