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Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Jun 3, 2021 at 10.35am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
WS

Adelaide United
2 - 2
Western Sydney

Gordon (11' og.), Goodwin (56')
Jakobsen (71'), Juric (74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Strain (22' og.), Dorrans (30')
Baccus (76'), Dorrans (76'), McGowan (90+3')
Mourdoukoutas (36')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
49.61%22.26%28.12%
Both teams to score 64.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.09%35.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42%57.99%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17%14.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86%43.13%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18%24.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59%59.41%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 49.61%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 28.13%
    Draw 22.26%
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 5.94%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 4.14%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 3.68%
3-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.26%
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-1 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.13%

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