Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
