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Australian A-League | Gameweek 6
Feb 10, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Parramatta Stadium
MV

Western Sydney
2 - 0
Victory

Dorrans (72' pen.), Yeboah (88')
Dorrans (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gestede (68'), Kirdar (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne Victory
43.12%26.1%30.78%
Both teams to score 52.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25%51.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48%73.52%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16%23.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98%58.02%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95%31.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64%67.36%
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 43.12%
    Melbourne Victory 30.78%
    Draw 26.09%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.12%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.78%

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