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Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Jan 29, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Parramatta Stadium
NJ

Western Sydney
1 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Ibini-Isei (36')
Russell (40'), Dorrans (90+2'), Baccus (90+3'), Natta (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Donovan (81' pen.)
Mauragis (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawNewcastle Jets
38.98%25.09%35.93%
Both teams to score 57.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.87%46.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58%68.42%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57%57.43%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25%59.75%
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 38.98%
    Newcastle Jets 35.93%
    Draw 25.08%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.56%
1-0 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.98%
1-1 @ 11.79%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-1 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 5.62%
1-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.93%

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