Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
