Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
