SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 11.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for an Ahal win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ain | Draw | Ahal |
70.93% ( 5.59) | 17.18% ( -2.55) | 11.89% ( -3.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.78% ( 4.74) | 37.22% ( -4.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% ( 4.94) | 59.43% ( -4.94) |
| Al-Ain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.68% ( 2.74) | 9.32% ( -2.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.57% ( 6.12) | 31.43% ( -6.12) |
| Ahal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.84% ( -1.49) | 42.16% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.42% ( -1.31) | 78.57% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ain | Draw | Ahal |
| 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.32)1-0 @ 9.32% ( -1.04)3-0 @ 8.75% ( 1.01)3-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.6)4-0 @ 5.19% ( 1.1)4-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.8)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.73)5-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.57)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.28)6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.36)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.22)Other @ 3.31% Total : 70.93% | 1-1 @ 8.05% ( -1.28) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.32)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.97)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.18% | 1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.72) 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -1.02)0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.52)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.26)Other @ 1.37% Total : 11.89% |
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