Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ittihad in this match.
Result | ||
Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
55.85% ( -0.24) | 24.74% ( 0.31) | 19.41% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 45.72% ( -0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.75% ( -1.19) | 55.25% ( 1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.53% ( -0.98) | 76.48% ( 0.99) |
Al Ittihad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.28% ( -0.55) | 19.72% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.26% ( -0.9) | 51.75% ( 0.91) |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.96% ( -0.76) | 43.05% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.67% ( -0.65) | 79.33% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
1-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.62% Total : 55.84% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.85% Total : 19.41% |
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