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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 23, 2023 at 5pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
1 - 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Hamdallah (90+4')
Felipe (76'), Hamdallah (90+5'), Romarinho (90+9'), H (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

H (90+3')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al Ittihad and Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Taawoun 1-1 Al Ittihad
Friday, October 20 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: AGMK 1-2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Monday, October 2 at 1pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ittihad in this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Quwa Al Jawiya
55.85% (-0.241 -0.24) 24.74% (0.307 0.31) 19.41% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.72% (-0.928 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.75% (-1.189 -1.19)55.25% (1.195 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.53% (-0.983 -0.98)76.48% (0.989 0.99)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.55 -0.55)19.72% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.26% (-0.904 -0.9)51.75% (0.91 0.91)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (-0.759 -0.76)43.05% (0.765 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.67% (-0.647 -0.65)79.33% (0.652 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 55.84%
    Al Quwa Al Jawiya 19.41%
    Draw 24.73%
Al IttihadDrawAl Quwa Al Jawiya
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 11.18% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 55.84%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.49% (0.386 0.39)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 19.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 1-1 Al Ittihad
Friday, October 20 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 0-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-0 Al Ittihad
Friday, September 29 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al Fateh
Thursday, September 21 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-0 AGMK
Monday, September 18 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 0-1 Al Ittihad
Thursday, September 14 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: AGMK 1-2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Monday, October 2 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-2 Sepahan
Monday, September 18 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Mumbai City 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3-2 Al Jazira
Friday, April 22 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Shabab 3-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Monday, April 18 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-1 Al Shabab
Thursday, April 14 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League


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