SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Navbahor had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Navbahor win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Navbahor |
52.61% ( -0.22) | 23.98% ( -0.02) | 23.41% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( 0.32) | 47.91% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( 0.29) | 70.09% ( -0.29) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( 0.03) | 18.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.84% ( 0.06) | 49.16% ( -0.06) |
| Navbahor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( 0.39) | 34.84% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% ( 0.41) | 71.58% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Navbahor |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.6% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.41% |
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