SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Nassr |
40.64% ( -0.17) | 23.61% ( 0.05) | 35.75% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.87% ( -0.2) | 39.13% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.55% ( -0.21) | 61.45% ( 0.21) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( -0.16) | 19.6% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.47% ( -0.26) | 51.53% ( 0.26) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% ( -0.03) | 21.95% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.76% ( -0.04) | 55.24% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 40.64% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.75% |
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