SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Sepahan win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Sepahan |
58.28% ( 4.96) | 22.88% ( -1.64) | 18.84% ( -3.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.19% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( 2.57) | 48.79% ( -2.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( 2.28) | 70.9% ( -2.29) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 2.76) | 16.44% ( -2.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( 4.78) | 46.12% ( -4.78) |
| Sepahan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% ( -2.01) | 39.93% ( 2.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% ( -1.9) | 76.59% ( 1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Sepahan |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.79)2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.99)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.63)4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.66)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.49)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.17)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.31)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.77) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.72)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -1.04) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.66)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.66)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.14% Total : 18.84% |
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