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AFC Champions League | Round of 16
Sep 14, 2021 at 5pm UK
 

Al-Nassr
1 - 0
Tractor Sazi

Aboubakar (11')
Asiri (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Razzaghpour (31'), Otaghi (67'), Vasei (76')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Al-Nassr and Tractor Sazi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Tractor Sazi had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Tractor Sazi win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawTractor Sazi
47.62%25.43%26.95%
Both teams to score 52.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98%51.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12%72.88%
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56%21.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55%54.45%
Tractor Sazi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47%33.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83%70.17%
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 47.61%
    Tractor Sazi 26.95%
    Draw 25.43%
Al-NassrDrawTractor Sazi
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 47.61%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 26.95%

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