SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Tractor Sazi had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Tractor Sazi win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Tractor Sazi |
| 47.62% | 25.43% | 26.95% |
| Both teams to score 52.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% | 51.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% | 72.88% |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% | 21.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.55% | 54.45% |
| Tractor Sazi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% | 33.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.83% | 70.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Tractor Sazi |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.41% Total : 47.61% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.37% Total : 26.95% |
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