SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for AGMK had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for an AGMK win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Quwa Al Jawiya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Draw | AGMK |
52% ( -3.39) | 24.85% ( 1.29) | 23.15% ( 2.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.28% ( -2.97) | 51.71% ( 2.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.51% ( -2.64) | 73.49% ( 2.64) |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( -2.42) | 19.87% ( 2.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.01% ( -4.07) | 51.98% ( 4.07) |
| AGMK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.82% ( 0.37) | 37.18% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.03% ( 0.36) | 73.97% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Draw | AGMK |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.34)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.62)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.55)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.44)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.41)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.79% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.61) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.84)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.89) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.15% |
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