SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sepahan win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sepahan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sepahan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sepahan | Draw | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
55.07% ( -0.21) | 24.98% ( 0.06) | 19.95% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.85% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.49% ( -0.05) | 55.5% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.31% ( -0.04) | 76.68% ( 0.04) |
| Sepahan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.87% ( -0.11) | 20.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.6% ( -0.17) | 52.4% ( 0.17) |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.41% ( 0.13) | 42.59% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.05% ( 0.11) | 78.94% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sepahan | Draw | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.06% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.95% |
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