SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BG Pathum United | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
35.22% ( -0.05) | 24.78% ( 0.01) | 40% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( -0.04) | 44.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( -0.04) | 67.17% ( 0.03) |
| BG Pathum United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( -0.05) | 24.86% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.53% ( -0.06) | 59.47% ( 0.06) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( 0) | 22.34% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( 0.01) | 55.83% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| BG Pathum United | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.36% Total : 40% |
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