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J1 League | Gameweek 29
Sep 29, 2023 at 11am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
2 - 3
Albirex Niigata

Schmidt (23'), Yamada (76' pen.)
Tachibanada (87'), Noborizato (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Suzuki (30'), Arai (59'), Ota (80')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-1 Yokohama FC
Saturday, September 23 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAlbirex Niigata
55.77% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.18% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 21.05% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)47.16% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)69.4% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (0.019999999999996 0.02)16.74% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.34% (0.036000000000001 0.04)46.66% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)36.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)73.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 55.77%
    Albirex Niigata 21.05%
    Draw 23.17%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 5.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 55.77%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 21.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 24 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Johor Darul 0-1 Kawasaki
Tuesday, September 19 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 FC Tokyo
Friday, September 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-2 Consadole
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, August 19 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-1 Yokohama FC
Saturday, September 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Urawa
Saturday, September 2 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 26 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Friday, August 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 12 at 10am in J1 League


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