SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Ventforet Kofu win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buriram United | Draw | Ventforet Kofu |
61.61% ( 4.8) | 20.71% ( -1.91) | 17.67% ( -2.89) |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( 4.18) | 41.21% ( -4.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.39% ( 4.12) | 63.6% ( -4.13) |
| Buriram United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( 2.88) | 12.87% ( -2.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.73% ( 5.61) | 39.26% ( -5.61) |
| Ventforet Kofu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.21% ( -0.65) | 36.78% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.42% ( -0.65) | 73.57% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buriram United | Draw | Ventforet Kofu |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.23)1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.81)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.71)3-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.81)4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.72)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.67)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.3)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.31)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.39)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.41)Other @ 3.43% Total : 61.61% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -1) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.96)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.6) 0-1 @ 4.74% ( -1.06)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.58)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.67% |
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