Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Ventforet Kofu win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0.05) 
