SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Ventforet Kofu win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ventforet Kofu | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
32.98% ( -0.58) | 24.62% ( -0.03) | 42.39% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 58.32% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.4% ( -0.02) | 44.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( -0.02) | 66.96% ( 0.01) |
| Ventforet Kofu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( -0.36) | 26.06% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.88% ( -0.48) | 61.11% ( 0.47) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% ( 0.27) | 21.11% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( 0.43) | 53.94% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ventforet Kofu | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.98% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.39% |
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