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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.56%. A win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Ventforet Kofu win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ventforet Kofu | Draw | Melbourne City |
23.43% ( 0.4) | 22% ( 0.07) | 54.56% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 60.01% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.93% ( 0.13) | 39.06% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.61% ( 0.13) | 61.39% ( -0.13) |
| Ventforet Kofu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.4) | 29.96% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( 0.48) | 66.07% ( -0.48) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( -0.11) | 14.32% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.85% ( -0.21) | 42.14% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ventforet Kofu | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 23.43% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 54.56% |
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