Flamengo know what it takes to win in the knockout stage, having made so many deep runs in South American club competitions of late, and their stingy backline should be relatively fresh and capable of containing a strong attacking side in Al-Hilal that expanded a lot of energy in their shootout victory last weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for an Al-Hilal win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
