Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.99%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.28%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.