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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jul 11, 2021 at 1pm UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
4 - 0
Beijing Guoan

Chinen (21'), Kozuka (37', 69'), Miyagi (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Xu (87')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Beijing Guoan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 12.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.99%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.28%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawBeijing Guoan
63.82%23.95%12.22%
Both teams to score 34.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.23%62.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.7%82.29%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4%19.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47%51.53%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.4%57.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.62%89.37%
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 63.81%
    Beijing Guoan 12.22%
    Draw 23.94%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 18.39%
2-0 @ 14.99%
2-1 @ 8.27%
3-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 4.49%
4-0 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 63.81%
0-0 @ 11.28%
1-1 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 2.28%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.94%
0-1 @ 6.23%
1-2 @ 2.8%
0-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 12.22%

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