SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Johor Darul Ta'zim |
40.63% ( -0.55) | 23.12% ( -0.29) | 36.25% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 64.71% ( 1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.4% ( 1.63) | 36.61% ( -1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.24% ( 1.75) | 58.76% ( -1.75) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( 0.44) | 18.54% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.22% ( 0.74) | 49.78% ( -0.74) |
| Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( 1.17) | 20.56% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( 1.82) | 53.08% ( -1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Johor Darul Ta'zim |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.43)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.66% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.25% |
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