Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 72.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 3-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
72.85% ( 0.4) | 16.64% ( -0.18) | 10.5% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.38% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.31% ( 0.19) | 38.68% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.01% ( 0.2) | 60.99% ( -0.2) |
Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.76% ( 0.14) | 9.24% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.75% ( 0.33) | 31.25% ( -0.34) |
Kyoto Sanga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.41% ( -0.29) | 45.59% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.6% ( -0.23) | 81.4% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
2-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.93% Total : 72.84% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 16.64% | 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 10.5% |
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