SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | BG Pathum United |
55.23% ( 0.07) | 22.72% ( -0.03) | 22.05% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( 0.09) | 43.93% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( 0.09) | 66.32% ( -0.09) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% ( 0.06) | 15.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.08% ( 0.11) | 44.92% ( -0.11) |
| BG Pathum United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% ( 0.02) | 33.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.46% ( 0.02) | 70.54% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | BG Pathum United |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.23% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.05% |
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