SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
23.28% ( -0.45) | 23.35% ( 0.25) | 53.37% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.67% ( -1.56) | 45.33% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.34% ( -1.51) | 67.67% ( 1.52) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( -1.25) | 33.53% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.83% ( -1.38) | 70.17% ( 1.39) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.07% ( -0.49) | 16.93% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53% ( -0.89) | 47.01% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.3% Total : 23.28% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.37% |
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